The Silver Lining from the COVID-19 Cloud

Originally posted on Author Don Massenzio:
As I write this, I’m sitting in my office beginning the fourth day of the isolation brought about by the COVID-19 (CoronaVirus) pandemic. I work for a company where travel every week is the norm. Last week, as I sat in a corporate office in Chicago, we listened to…

COVID-19: 700,000 cases & 33,500 deaths. Deaths: worldwide 10 x China; Italy > 3 x China; Spain 2 x China.

Two Auckland NZ Westies Two grey old Auckland Westies Thought they caught COVID disease Strived to survive Thrived both alive Say pleased they may be bee’s knees Alan Grace 29 March 2020 For P & B At 7 am NZ time today: Coronavirus Cases: 707,684 Deaths:                   …

COVID-19: USA now has more cases than China. The first 10 days of Lockdown. Happy virus-free day to us.

The first ten days of Lockdown At the start of Day One Lockdown bubble begun Around hour of midnight Now no virus in sight When will the fight be won? Chorus Healthy virus-free day for us Healthy virus-free day for us Healthy virus-free day dear bubble Healthy virus-free day for us It’s halfway through Day…

COVID-19: Lockdown Day One. Worldwide over 520,000 cases, 23,500 deaths & 120,000 recovered.

Lockdown Day One At the start of Day one Lockdown bubble begun Around hour of midnight Now no virus in sight When will the fight be won? Alan Grace 27 March 2020 New Zealand went into lockdown at one minute to midnight on 25 March for at least four weeks. We are now on Day…

Cabin fever

Cabin fever I like to be formal My life’s so subnormal Smile do not frown Love our lockdown Know now the new normal Alan Grace 26 March 2020 New Zealand is in lockdown maybe for four weeks or more. There are now 462,781 cases throughout the world and 20,896 deaths. My posts can be found…

COVID-19: NZ should have gone to Level 4 (lockdown) earlier. Worldwide 420,718 cases; 18,800 deaths.

Listen to all news Few people refuse To read the good news If only we would Heed bad with the good Each choose to peruse Alan Grace 24 March 2020 New Zealand goes to level 4 (lockdown) at 11.59 pm NZ time tonight. This should have happened a week  ago. The best way to beat…

COVID-19: Go to Level 4 immediately to flatten the curve. Will the number of cases worldwide reach 45 million in the next month?

Flatten the curve Humanity faces Steep curve that high races Do not COVID serve Please flatten the curve To ten million cases Alan Grace 22 March 2020 Going to level 4 immediately is the only way to successfully attempt to flatten the curve significantly. The NZ government is acting far too slowly. They are playing…

COVID-19: Over 300,000 cases now! Will the death toll reach 2 million in the next month?

In this post we look at a graph that predicts a world death toll of over two million deaths one month from now. We are coming up to Day 60 (22 March; Day 1 was 23 January). The graph below projects the death toll for the next 30 days up to 21 April (Day 90)….

COVID-19: World deaths exponential

COVID-19 Death curves Cubes not spurned by Rubik World curves were turned cubic Death’s got new potential To yearn exponential Idea not cherubic Alan Grace 20 March 2020 In China up to the mid-point (my estimated day 23.5), the death curve was quadratic (based on x-squared). World deaths are exponential. For a while they appeared…

COVID-19: 10,000 deaths; almost 250,000 cases. Beware of future virus waves.

Virus waves Any of you the virus saves Remember human lives it craves Coronavirus Is a world crisis Beware of  new vile virus waves Alan Grace 20 March 2020 There have now been 10,009 deaths from COVID-19 in the world. The number of cases is approaching 250,000 (244,526). The number of cases is likely to…

COVID-19: Now more deaths in Italy than in China

China vs Italy I hoped we would never see COVID-19 so deadly Such sore angina Outbid poor China Now more deaths in Italy Alan Grace 18 March 2020 Italy now has over 3,400 deaths. China has 3,245. Italy has just over half the number of cases that China has. In Italy the total number of…

COVID-19: The importance of social distancing

Don’t share COVID-19 Should we need assistance Care for your existence Don’t share COVID nineteen This is very obscene Keep a social distance Alan Grace 19 March 2020 Within several hours from now in the world from COVID-19: The number of cases will reach 220,000 cases The number of deaths will reach 9,000 Italy will…

COVID-19: Almost 200,000 cases and 8,000 deaths

COVID milestone Today is a great milestone Eight thousand deaths to bemoan 200K cases The vile death toll races A milestone or a millstone? Alan Grace 18 March 2020 Sometime today we can expect to have reached 200,000 cases and 8,000 deaths in the world from COVID-19. The current total around 8 am NZ time…

Coronavirus crisis: More deaths and cases outside China than there have been within China.

Coronavirus crisis I wish I had known What time has sad shown Not just its cost My trust sits lost High profits dust blown Alan Grace 17 March 2020 There are now over 180,000 cases and over 7,000 deaths from COVID-19 in the world. There are more deaths and cases outside China than there have…

Coronavirus: NZ borders now toughest in the world

New Zealand Coronavirus travel restrictions are now the toughest in the world. The aim is to flatten the impact the impact of Coronavirus (COVID-19) so that there is not a sharp increase in cases that may overwhelm the Health system. A number of changes come into effect tonight. Source: NZ Herald. My other Coronavirus posts…

Bitcoins’ biggest single day downswing in 7 years!

BTC is currently trading at ~$5,100, down ~18.4% over yesterday. At one point, BTC was even trading at ~$3,800, marking this the single biggest BTC day drop in the last 7 years. Source: CoinMarketCap Newsletter. See: https://coinmarketcap.com/ https://aaamazingphoenix.wordpress.com/tag/bitcoin/ https://guestdailyposts.wordpress.com/guest-pingbacks/  

Long drop: Markets down the toilet

Long drop: Markets down the toilet Darkest DOW drop deadly obscene Sharemarkets caught COVID nineteen Coronavirus Now more desirous Quarantine shares down the latrine Alan Grace 13 March 2020 Paralysis by computer sharemarket analysis My posts can be found here: https://aaamazingphoenix.wordpress.com/tag/coronavirus/ Data for my posts can be found at: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ I share my posts at:…

Trump Depression

Trump Depression The Great Depression of twenty-twenty History for more than a century Disneyland is dead Shares dizzy and Red Do we trust you to not lose us plenty Alan Grace 13 March 2020 My posts can be found here: https://aaamazingphoenix.wordpress.com/tag/coronavirus/ Data for my posts can be found at: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ Stock market live Thursday: Dow…

COVID-19

COVID-19 Rue Humanity has sadly seen New flu as bad as COVID nineteen Please self-isolate Before you’re too late To prevent you sent to quarantine Alan Grace 13 March 2020 My COVID-19 (Coronavirus) posts can be found here: https://aaamazingphoenix.wordpress.com/tag/coronavirus/ Data for my posts can be found at: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ I share my posts at: https://guestdailyposts.wordpress.com/guest-pingbacks/ How…

COVID-19 in China: How likely is the death rate to be 4.2% to 4.3%?

We look to see how likely the death/mortality rate (CFR=Case Fatality Rate) in China for COVID-19 will be 4.2% to 4.3%. Over the last two days, The projected total number of deaths from COVID-19 is now in a narrow range from 3,400 to 3,475 deaths (3,398 to 3,485). While we will need to follow up…

Could your country have more than 10,000 cases of COVID-19?

Self-isolate Caught the flu do not roam Lock your door stay at home Do not delay For a short day Pray we’re not shocked as Rome Alan Grace 11 March 2020 Previous version: Self-isolate With the flu do not roam Lock your door stay at home Do not delay For a short day Pray we…

COVID-19 Disclosure and Index

This post contains a list of my Coronavirus (COVID-19) posts. Please read my disclosure below. My posts can be found here: https://aaamazingphoenix.wordpress.com/tag/coronavirus/ Data for my posts can be found at: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ You can also see a list of my posts here: https://guestdailyposts.wordpress.com/guest-pingbacks/ Disclosure ================================ I do not have a medical background or qualifications in the…

China and South Korea may have COVID-19 under control

China on 9 March had 19 new cases of COVID-19 and 17 deaths, with still 4794 serious/critical cases. Looking back over the last 7 days, the projected number of deaths from these cases may be between 250 and 750 deaths (5%-14% of critical/serious cases) except for 5 March when the projection may extend out to…

Happy Belated Birthday Phyllis

Happy Belated Birthday Phyllis You’re sixty-five and still alive I hope you continue to thrive End of this year I will be there If COVID-19 I survive Alan Grace 10 March 2020 See: http://www.covertnovelist.com/index.php/2020/03/09/birthday/ https://guestdailyposts.wordpress.com/guest-pingbacks/  

COVID-19 in China: Only 40 new cases. With 5,111 serious/critical cases, will there still be between 3200 and 3500 deaths?

There have been only 40 new cases of COVID-19 (Coronavirus) in China yesterday (8 March). We hope this indicates new cases are nearing the end as we have expected. There are still 5,111 serious/critical cases. We are unsure what affect these 5,111 cases may have on the final number of deaths. In our discussions, weeks ago…

Deaths in China now 3097 from COVID-19

On 7 March in China the number of deaths has now reached 3097 from Coronavirus (COVID-19). There were only 45 new cases on 7 March in China. There are still 5264 serious/critical cases. This down from 5489, 5737, 5912, 6418, and just over 6800 on previous days. We are not sure how these may affect…

Is the death rate for Coronavirus between 3.85% and 3.9%?

The mortality rate (or case fatality rate, CFR) is currently defined as: cumulative current total deaths / current confirmed cases. See: 3.4% Mortality Rate estimate by the WHO as of March 3 Using the 4 March figures for China the CFR would be 3012/80409= 3.746%. The case fatality rate (CFR) represents the proportion of cases who eventually die…

Today’s quote from ‘The Plague’ by Albert Camus

What do you think of this quote? You are welcome to look at my other posts about Coronavirus. See: https://aaamazingphoenix.wordpress.com/tag/coronavirus/ I share my posts here: https://guestdailyposts.wordpress.com/guest-pingbacks/ Alan Grace 4 March 2020  

Coronavirus deaths in China III. Is the final death toll going to be between 3100 and 3200?

In this post we look to see how likely the final number of deaths from this outbreak in China will be between 3100 and 3200. For background please look at my other posts on Coronavirus. See: https://aaamazingphoenix.wordpress.com/tag/coronavirus/ My data comes from: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ From 23 February I have changed my number of deaths in my data…

Coronavirus (3000 deaths): Estimating the death rate in China

Up until yesterday there have been almost 80,000 cases of Coronavirus in China. The world total was 86,613 and, with 6,789 of those cases outside China, the total within China was 79,824. See: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-cases/#daily-cases For my other posts on Coronavirus see: https://aaamazingphoenix.wordpress.com/tag/coronavirus/ The world’s death toll has now reached 3000. Yesterday the total number of…

Coronavirus Deaths in China: Estimating the midpoint and total number of deaths from the data

The four methods we have looked at for estimating the total number of deaths in China from Coronavirus all involve knowing the midpoint for the number of deaths. For my previous posts see: https://aaamazingphoenix.wordpress.com/tag/coronavirus/ We have seen an S-Curve is appropriate for the total number of deaths. We can look at the daily (cumulative) number…