COVID Odyssey: Winter Warning Omicron second wave~ Auckland cases in June 4.4x in one day~ NZ cases over 10,000 yesterday #PLAY

NZ new community cases topped 10,000 (10,290) yesterday (6 July) for the first time in months (since circa 21 April). See: https://www.health.govt.nz/news-media/news-items/10290-community-cases-522-hospitalisations-10-icu-12-deaths https://www.health.govt.nz/news-media/news-items/10294-community-cases-524-hospitalisations-14-icu-18-deaths https://www.health.govt.nz/news-media/news-items/13511-community-cases-30-deaths-past-two-days-500-hospitalisations-15-icu-today Update: on 8 July, instead of 13,334 new cases, there were actually 9,318 (over 4,200 less). See: https://www.neighbourly.co.nz/public/auckland/titirangi/message/68319118 https://www.health.govt.nz/news-media/news-items/nz-covid-19-case-numbers-corrected-9318 https://www.health.govt.nz/news-media/news-items/13344-community-cases-587-hospitalisations-9-icu-23-deaths On 27 June Auckland new community cases went up to 1,796…

COVID-19: When will NZ go Orange or Green? #Green#Newspaper

Traffic light green I’m not a mighty magician Or even a statistician When will NZ be seen With a traffic light green I’m a mere mathematician Alan Grace 11 April 2022 Update: NZ went to Orange at 11.59pm on Wednesday 13 April. New Zealand has now had 500 deaths with COVID-19. See: 7,592 community cases;…

COVID Odyssey: NZ New Year Fear 39 Post #966~ NZ COVID-19: Results for Poll~ When will half of NZ population be infected?

In a recent Poll on an NZ social media website we had these votes: Here is the full question: See:https://www.neighbourly.co.nz/public/auckland/titirangi/message/67463549 We assume that: There will be no Lockdowns. The dominant variant will be Omicron in the next six months. There will not be any significant improvement in vaccines in the next six months. We will…

COVID Odyssey: NZ New Year Fear 31 Post #958~ NZ COVID-19: 2,846 community cases today~ Be Safe ~ Today’s date can be an Ambigram

2,846 community cases of COVID-19 in NZ today (22 February 2022). See: https://www.health.govt.nz/news-media/news-items/more-27000-boosters-administered-2846-community-cases-covid-19-143-hospital 22 February 2022 is a palindrome and an ambigram in NZ, UK,  . . . (not in US). (turn the above image upside down) You can also miss out the zeros. Then Tuesday 22/2/22 really becomes Twosday. Shared Posts (Pingbacks)

COVID Odyssey: NZ New Year Fear 29 Post #956~ NZ COVID-19 ~ More new community cases announced today than for all of 2020

2,522 new community cases of COVID-19 in New Zealand have just been announced today. See: https://www.health.govt.nz/news-media/news-items/rapid-antigen-testing-auckland-2522-community-cases-covid-19-100-hospital This is more than the total number of cases (2,162) in 2020 in New Zealand. See: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/new-zealand/ This makes it more likely that we may reach 50,000 cases by the end of February. We still think a total of…

COVID Odyssey: NZ New Year Fear 28 Post #955~ NZ COVID-19 Poll results~ When will total case numbers double to 50,000 cases?

The total number of COVID-19 cases in New Zealand has now exceeded 25,000 cases. How soon do you think this number will double to 50,000? Which choice is the best answer below? See: https://aaamazingphoenix.wordpress.com/2022/02/18/covid-odyssey-nz-new-year-fear-24-post-951-nz-covid-19-new-community-cases-yesterday-more-than-total-in-first-2020-outbreak/ The above question was asked in an NZ social media Poll in Neighbourly. Responses could be made by members of Neighbourly…

COVID Odyssey: NZ New Year Fear 26 Post #953~ NZ COVID-19 ~ New community cases yesterday more than total in first 2020 outbreak

Yesterday (18 February) in New Zealand 1,573 new community cases of COVID-19 were announced. See: https://www.health.govt.nz/news-media/news-items/more-40000-boosters-administered-hutt-valley-reaches-90-fully-vaccinated-maori-1573-community-cases This is more than the total number of cases (circa 1,504) in the first 2020 outbreak in new Zealand. When will we have in New Zealand in one day more community cases than the total number of cases in…

COVID Odyssey: NZ New Year Fear 8 Post #935~ NZ Omicron: Estimating Ro

We use actual case numbers for the Omicron variant in New Zealand to estimate Ro. We find that case numbers may potentially triple in a two-day period. For update see:https://aaamazingphoenix.wordpress.com/2022/02/01/covid-odyssey-nz-new-year-fear-11-post-938-nz-covid-19-can-ro-be-30-higher-than-re/ To estimate Ro (the average number of people one person may infect without isolation over a 10-day infectious period), we need to estimate (project) the…