COVID Odyssey: Winter Windup 15 ~ Executive summary ~ Our formula for Ro

Updates for New Zealand Delta variant data and results see below. For earlier and other variants see: Welcome About COVID Odyssey: Winter Warning NZ 6 ~ Estimating the number of 2021 Cases ~ A simpler formula COVID Odyssey: Winter Warning NZ 2 ~ Delta variant ~ Lockdown 4 appears to be working For COVID-19 we…

COVID Odyssey: Winter Windup 10 ~ COVID-19 Delta variant ~ Conclusions 2021

The Delta variant of COVID-19 appears to be twice as infectious as the original 2020 outbreak. We have found that Ro for the Delta variant is between 9 and 12.7. Ro is the average number of people once person may infect over a period of n = 10 days when there is no quarantine or…

COVID Odyssey by Alan Grace: New Year Fare ~ Contents

COVID Odyssey Contents (see below for Contents) You can come back to this page from the HOME/ CONTENTS menu from: COVID Odyssey by Alan Grace: New Year Fare ~ Contents (Hover over the HOME/ CONTENTS menu at the top of the screen) COVID Odyssey by Alan Grace Alan Grace’s journey exploring COVID-19. Findings (See #6 below)….

COVID Odyssey: Summer Daze ~ Introduction

Summer Daze Foreign virus exchange Our new normal is strange The halcyon Days don’t begin COVID’s made a great change Alan Grace 29 May 2020 COVID-19 has changed the world. This site documents my journey and my attempts to use (relatively) simple mathematics (that hopefully a good high school student may be able to follow)…

COVID Odyssey: March Equinox ~ The Odyssey

March Equinox March passed milestone equinox Spoiled soiled world embroiled on rocks Dark nights groan longer Virus grows stronger Locks, stocks, and clocks feel the shocks Akan Grace 30 May 2020 This post contains annotations for some of my COVID-19 posts. The complete (numbered) index (Contents) can be found here: https://aaamazingphoenix.wordpress.com/2020/05/28/my-covid-odyssey-by-alan-grace/ The posts with the…

COVID Odyssey: Autumn Leaves ~ Quest complete?

Autumn Leaves Fall leaves in Autumn May peace and rest come Soon in June Cries to moon Spoiled soiled world numb Alan Grace 30 May 2020 New Zealand has not had any new cases of COVID-19 for the last six days. We have a total of 1504 cases and 22 deaths. 1500 cases was the…

The AAAmazing Phoenix

You may like my version of the re-blog at the bottom: The AAAmazing Phoenix There are always reasons For a Phoenix all seasons