COVID-19 Disclosure and Index

This post contains a list of my Coronavirus (COVID-19) posts.
Please read my disclosure below.

My posts can be found here:
https://aaamazingphoenix.wordpress.com/tag/coronavirus/

Data for my posts can be found at:
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

You can also see a list of my posts here:
https://guestdailyposts.wordpress.com/guest-pingbacks/

Disclosure
================================

I do not have a medical background or qualifications in the health area.

Although I taught full-time for over 21 years as a lecturer in the Faculty of Health at AUT University, back to when it was known as ATI, my work involved teaching computer skills to students within the faculty.

I have degrees in mathematics. I have taught at several tertiary institutions and secondary schools.

My posts include relatively simple mathematics that hopefully the public may be able to follow.

The opinions expressed are my own.

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Below is a list of my Coronavirus (COVID-19) posts up until this morning
(11 March):

•  COVID-19 Disclosure and Index – Alan’s Ark
• China and South Korea may have COVID-19 under control – Alan’s Ark
• Happy Belated Birthday Phyllis – Alan’s Ark
• COVID-19 in China: Only 40 new cases. With 5,111 serious/critical cases, will there still be between 3200 and 3500 deaths? – Alan’s Ark
• Deaths in China now 3097 from Covid-19 – Alan’s Ark
• Is the death rate for Coronavirus between 3.85% and 3.9%? – Alan’s Ark
• Today’s quote from ‘The Plague’ by Albert Camus – Alan’s Ark
• Coronavirus deaths in China III. Is the final death toll going to be between 3100 and 3200? – Alan’s Ark
• Coronavirus (3000 deaths): Estimating the death rate in China – Alan’s Ark
• Coronavirus Deaths in China: Estimating the midpoint and total number of deaths from the Data – Alan’s Ark
• Coronavirus deaths in China II. Is the final death toll going to be between 3200 and 3500? – Alan’s Ark
• Estimating the Final number of deaths in China from Coronavirus. Is the final death toll going to be less than 3000 deaths? – Alan’s Ark
• Coronavirus (an Acrostic poem) – Alan’s Ark
• Coronavirus: 80,000 cases in 40 countries/territories and 2700 deaths – Alan’s Ark
• Coronavirus Model 3 (Sigmoid curve). Can the Grand Total of deaths in China be less than 4,250? – Alan’s Ark
• Are Chinese Coronavirus deaths fake news? A quadratic fits well to the data – Alan’s Ark
• Will Coronavirus infections reach 800,000 in mid March??? – Alan’s Ark

Alan Grace
11 March 2020

I share my posts at:
https://guestdailyposts.wordpress.com/guest-pingbacks/

How can a Coronavirus out-spread from 5 to 368 people in 5 Cycles (Credit: The New York Times)?

If 5 people with new coronavirus can impact 2.6 others, then 5 people could be sick after 1 Cycle, 18 people after 2 Cycles, 52 people after 3 Cycles and so on. See:
https://towardsdatascience.com/how-bad-will-the-coronavirus-outbreak-get-predicting-the-outbreak-figures-f0b8e8b61991