Merry Christmas and Happy New Year~ an acrostic

I hope you had a Merry Christmas and will have a Happy New Year. All the best for 2024. Alan Meditate with Enthusiasm Respecting Reflecting on Your year ~ Clarify and Honour your Role In this life Sparkle bright. Twinkle like the star you are. Mighty in your special ways Affirming your Speciality each and…

New Year’s Day~ a reverse poem

Happy New Year. I hope New year’s Day 2024 goes well for you. If your New Year’s Day does not go well remember this poem. Change the first line to: Today was the worst New Year’s Day ever Change the last line to: New Year’s Day 2024 was a very good day Now read each…

Happy New Year (Acrostics)

Happy New Year … An Acrostic Heres to a real plan for peace in this year to come, not more of the enmity and loss we’ve had as we yearn for the end to war and hope Peace on Earth will be restored once again. Sue Mason posted 2009 https://www.poetrysoup.com/poem/happy_new_year__an_acrostic_194197 Happy New Year! Happy New…

COVID-19~ World-wide estimates. Is r^3 a good estimate for Ro?

We investigate if r^3 (r cubed) is a good estimate for Ro for COVID-19. We have already looked at worldwide estimates for Ro if Ro ~ exp(2.5r – 2.5), where r is a daily increase in case numbers early in an outbreak. Ro is the average number of people one person may infect when there…

Wishing you all a Merry Christmeow and a COVID-free new year. All the best for 2024!

Merry Christmeow and all the best for 2024! Sadly, I could not personalise the cards- there are only a limited number of views allowed for each card. All the best for 2024. https://www.123greetings.com/events/carol_day/a_joyous_christmas_carol.html https://www.123greetings.com/events/christmas/merry_christmas/joyful_christmas_and_a_happy_new_year.html Shared Posts (Pingbacks)

COVID-19~ Worldwide estimates if Ro ~ exp(2.5r – 2.5)

We look at worldwide estimates for Ro if Ro ~ exp(2.5r – 2.5), where r is a daily increase in case numbers early in an outbreak. Ro is the average number of people one person may infect when there is no immunity in the community over a ten-day infectious period, and “exp” means “e to…

COVID-19~ Does Ro = exp(2.5r – 2.5)?

In this post we consider whether Ro = exp(2.5r – 2.5) is a good estimate for Ro where r is the daily increase in case numbers early in an outbreak. We consider this graph: We have already considered r^2.5 and r^(10/3) for various values of r. We add these to the graph: Below are the…

COVID-19~ refining our estimate for Ro

We have considered that Ro = 1.1r^2.5 provides a good estimate for Ro, where r is a daily increase in case numbers early in an outbreak, and Ro is the average number of people that one person may infect when there is no immunity over a ten-day infectious period. We now consider if Ro =…

COVID-19 in 2020~ 1.1r^2.5 compared with literature meta-analyses

In this post we update our earlier results and compare our results with meta-analysis in the literature. In 2020 we developed a formula for Ro, the number of people one person may infect over a ten-day period when there is no immunity, based on the daily increase, r, in the number of cases of COVID-19….