COVID-19 in China: How likely is the death rate to be 4.2% to 4.3%?

We look to see how likely the death/mortality rate (CFR=Case Fatality Rate) in China for COVID-19 will be 4.2% to 4.3%. Over the last two days, The projected total number of deaths from COVID-19 is now in a narrow range from 3,400 to 3,475 deaths (3,398 to 3,485). While we will need to follow up…