Plan for Random Acts of Kindness Day on 17 February

You may like to use this card: Maybe don’t wait until the Random Act of Kindness day? The table was modified from: 35 Random Acts of Kindness Calendar (Free Printable) We have also added numbering just in case you want a true random Act of Kindness: To use this table use two dice: Throw the…

Help me get out of this COVID Rabbit hole!

After four years looking at COVID-19 it is definitely time to stop!!! COVID Rabbit Hole I was caught down a rabbit hole It sought to take my mind and soul My sanity depended on Ending my fight with OMICRON I thought it might swallow me whole Alan Grace 2 April 2022 Warning: Don’t get caught…

COVID-19~ 2020 outbreak~ Conclusions up to August 6 2020

We draw conclusions from our previous posts based on cases up to August 6 2020. We have already looked at worldwide estimates for Ro if Ro ~ exp(2.5r – 2.5), Ro ~ exp(sr – s), and Ro ~ exp(tr – t) where Ro is the average number of people that one person with COVID-19 may…

COVID-19~ Should a weighted average be used to estimate r*?

We have used two ways to calculate r*, an estimate for r. We currently use the first (“Old”) method to estimate Ro for the early 2020 outbreak. The only difference is on the second line where the average is used in the top calculation  a weighted average is used in the bottom calculation. Note that…

COVID-19~ Worldwide values for Ro in early 2020

We look at values for Ro worldwide in 2020 where Ro is the number of other people a person with COVID-19 may infect on average over a 10-day infectious period. We have looked at this post: COVID-19~ Better values for Ro We obtain this list: This PDF contains more countries: COVIDWorldwidet Shared Posts (Pingbacks)

COVID-19~ Better values for Ro

In this post we obtain better estimates for Ro by increasing our minimal estimates for Ro. We have already looked at minimal values for Ro based on our previous results and simulations: COVID-19~ Minimal values for Ro In the above post we looked at EXP(sr-s). We consider t = s*1.05 and look at EXP(tr-t). i.e….

COVID-19~ Minimal values for Ro

In this post we look at minimal values for Ro based on our previous results and simulations. We have already looked at worldwide estimates for Ro if Ro ~ exp(2.5r – 2.5), where r is a daily increase in case numbers early in an outbreak. Ro is the average number of people one person may…

COVID-19~ Is 9.75(r-1)^2+1 a good estimate for Ro?

In this post we consider if Ro = 9.75(r-1)^2+1 a good estimate for Ro. We have already looked at worldwide estimates for Ro if Ro ~ exp(2.5r – 2.5), where r is a daily increase in case numbers early in an outbreak. Ro is the average number of people one person may infect when there…

Green Card Lottery~ Beware of scams!

Earlier this week I saw a link to the Green Card lottery. It has already closed! Beware of anyone asking for any money/costs: https://consumer.ftc.gov/media/79859 Also read the Transcript: I received the following email: A couple of days later I received a phone call. I said I believed it was a scam. I received a second…

COVID-19 in 2020~ Extending using approximating polynomials for Ro

We extend our range for estimating Ro using another polynomial. We have already investigated if r^3 (r cubed) is a good estimate for Ro for COVID-19: COVID-19~ World-wide estimates. Is r^3 a good estimate for Ro? We have already looked at worldwide estimates for Ro if Ro ~ exp(2.5r – 2.5), where r is a…

Speed Kills (an acrostic)

Speed Kills Speed will kill in ’24 Police will wage their own war Exceed limit fine ask for Expect fools safety adore Do not drive foot to the floor ~ Keep to the speeds set by law I hope toll less than before Liquor, drugs, phones add to score Last year’s toll down thirty four…

Message in a bottle~ Come to space with me to Europa~ Deadline may be today!

https://europa.nasa.gov/message-in-a-bottle/sign-on/ To enter the Message in a Bottle campaign, you just need to go to NASA’s website and fill out a short signup form. The deadline is tomorrow, December 31. So far, more than 2.4 million people have added their names. According to NASA, the names of everyone who participated will be stenciled in tiny,…

Happy New Year (an acronym)

Have A Perfectly Pleasurable Year Newly Extend Well Your Enjoyment And Rewards https://aaamazingphoenix.wordpress.com/?s=happy+new+year Shared Posts (Pingbacks)