COVID Odyssey: Spring Spruce up 3 ~ NZ COVID-19 Delta Poll 2~ How may vaccination rates affect a worst-case scenario?

A suitable meaning

Let us not talk at cross-purpose
Let us stop this COVID circus
We are able
Let us table
Suitable means fit for purpose

Alan Grace
18 September 2021

Poll 2

This post describes a second poll on a New Zealand social media App (Neighbourly). Links to the  first poll and the results for the first poll are at the bottom of this post.

Poll 2, like Poll1, is not a scientific or an academic poll. It was worded simply and hopefully in an understandable manner as below:

Poll2

Poll2b

Before making a choice yourself, perhaps review Poll 1.

Poll 1

This post provides the results of a poll on a New Zealand social media App (Neighbourly). To view the poll, see:

https://www.neighbourly.co.nz/public/auckland/titirangi/message/67008287

COVIDpoll

COVID Odyssey: Spring Spruce up ~ NZ COVID-19 Poll~ How may vaccination rates affect a worst-case scenario?

The 33 respondents were from Titirangi,  a suburb in Auckland, and from 13 neighbouring suburbs. The poll was displayed on the App noticeboard  with all 23,167 “neighbours” able to vote if they wished.

The poll is not a scientific or an academic poll. It was worded simply and hopefully in an understandable manner as below:

New Zealand currently has about 34% (about 1/3) of its population over 12 fully vaccinated. For Norway the percentage is 67 % (about 2/3).
When New Zealand reaches 67% fully vaccinated, which of the following estimates do you think provides the most suitable worst-case scenario for New Zealand over the next 12 months?

a) 1,300,000 cases and 7,000 deaths (Professor Hendy estimate).
b) 500,000 cases and 2,100 deaths.
c) 185,000 cases and 2,100 deaths.
d) 185,000 cases and 850 deaths.
e) 12,000 cases and 80 deaths.
f) 4,100 cases and 30 deaths.

Also see:

Results of Poll 1

Below are the results of a poll on a New Zealand social media App (Neighbourly). To view the poll, see:

https://www.neighbourly.co.nz/public/auckland/titirangi/message/67008287

COVIDpoll

The 33 respondents were from Titirangi,  a suburb in Auckland, and from 13 neighbouring suburbs. The poll was displayed on the App noticeboard  with all 23,167 “neighbours” able to vote if they wished.

The poll is not a scientific or an academic poll. It was worded simply and hopefully in an understandable manner as below:

New Zealand currently has about 34% (about 1/3) of its population over 12 fully vaccinated. For Norway the percentage is 67 % (about 2/3).
When New Zealand reaches 67% fully vaccinated, which of the following estimates do you think provides the most suitable worst-case scenario for New Zealand over the next 12 months?

a) 1,300,000 cases and 7,000 deaths (Professor Hendy estimate).
b) 500,000 cases and 2,100 deaths.
c) 185,000 cases and 2,100 deaths.
d) 185,000 cases and 850 deaths.
e) 12,000 cases and 80 deaths.
f) 4,100 cases and 30 deaths.

Also see:

COVID Odyssey: Spring Spruce up 2 ~ NZ COVID-19 Delta Poll results~ How may vaccination rates affect a worst-case scenario?

Poll 2 Continued

You should now have enough background to consider Poll 2 yourself.

Poll2

Poll2b

What is your own preference?

Below are the intermediate poll 2 results from the first 25 voters.

Consider your own preference before you look below.

Don’t peak below until you have considered your own choice!

Have you made your choice?

Votesb25

First 30 votes (we finally have a vote for 12,000 cases):

Votesb30

All 33 votes:

Votesb33

Has your preference changed? Also see:

https://aaamazingphoenix.wordpress.com/?s=Spring+Spruce+up

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