COVID Odyssey: NZ New Year Fear 12 Post #939~ NZ COVID-19: When may case numbers double in 2 days?

In this post we revisit theoretical case numbers for the 2020 New Zealand outbreak of the original COVID-19 variant to estimate Ro. We estimate when case numbers may double every two days if there is no isolation. Case numbers will double every two days when there is a consistent daily increase in case numbers of…