COVID-19 NZ: Would the number of cases be double if L4 had been delayed one week?

New Zealand went into Lockdown Level 4 (L4) at 11.59 pm on Wednesday 25 March. In this post we analyse what may have happened if L4 had been delayed one week. We find a curve that fits the total number of cases. First we look at the ratios of the total number of cases (see…