COVID-19 cases reach 2,000,000; 125,000+ deaths; almost 485,000 recovered. How about NZ?

On April 15, 2020, 05:10 GMT:

Coronavirus Cases:
2,000,065

Deaths:
126,754

Recovered:
484,597

NZ Coronavirus Cases:
1,386

NZ Deaths:
9

Graphs – Countries – Death Rate – Incubation –Symptoms – News
view by country

New Zealand continues to be very lucky. The curve has now flattened. However the number of deaths since last Thursday (when we only had one death) is concerning. NZ now has 9 deaths. The increase in the number of cluster (to 15) is also concerning.

World14C
World14B

World14

On 6 April we used New Zealand, Australian, and Norway data to estimate the total number of cases and deaths in New Zealand. Please see the assumptions:
https://aaamazingphoenix.wordpress.com/2020/04/06/covid-19-nz-how-many-cases-and-deaths-may-we-expect/

‘We now have a case estimate range from 1350 and 2700 cases.

‘From the above tables we get an estimate for the number of deaths from 12 to 34 for 2700 cases and 6 to 17 for 1350 cases.’

‘We adopt the estimated range of 1500 to 3000 cases (adding 10% extra to allow for the tail).’

At that time NZ only had 1 death. This became 2 last Friday, 4 on Saturday, 5 on Monday, and 9 on Tuesday (yesterday).

Below are updated graphs:

AustraliaBar15

NorwayBar14

NZBar15

NZLinear15

NZRaw15

Country, Total New Total
Other Cases Cases Deaths
USA 614,246 360 26,064
Norway 6,623 139
Denmark 6,511 299
Australia 6,440 40 63
New Zealand 1,386 20 9

Australia continues to have 2 deaths per 1 Million population (as does China).

New Zealand has a population of about 5 million people.
This would suggest NZ deaths at 5 x 2 = 10 deaths.

My other COVID-19 posts can be found here:
https://aaamazingphoenix.wordpress.com/tag/coronavirus/

Data for my posts can be found at:
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_coronavirus_pandemic_in_New_Zealand

I share my posts at:
https://guestdailyposts.wordpress.com/guest-pingbacks/

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