Coronavirus Model 3 (Sigmoid curve). Can the Grand Total of deaths in China be less than 4,250?

We use a Sigmoid curve (Logistic function; “S” shape) to estimate the grand total number of deaths in China. Within 2 months from 22 January, we estimate the grand total may be less than 4,250 deaths. Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Logistic_function The standard graph looks like this: We notice that around 18-19 February (Days 27 & 28 from…